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| - Intentions of UK Farmers towardBiofuel Crop Production: Implications for Policy Targets andLand Use Change
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| - The United States and the European Union have settargets for biofuel production to decrease reliance onfossil fuels and to reduce fossil carbon emissions. Attainmentof biofuel targets depends upon policy and infrastructuredevelopment but also on production of suitable raw materials.Production of relevant crops relies on the decisions thatfarmers make in their economic and political environment.We need to identify any farmer-related barriers tobiofuel production and to determine whether novel policyand technology are required to meet targets. Theseaspects of the emerging biofuel industry are relevantacross international barriers and have not yet been addressedquantitatively. We describe a case study from the UK offarmers' intentions toward producing two biofuel crops forwhich refining capacity either exists or is under construction.Given farmers' intentions, current land use, and conversionefficiency, we estimate potential biofuel production. Theseestimates indicate that EU targets are not achievableusing domestically grown raw materials without policyintervention, use of alternative feedstocks, and eithersignificant improvements in processing efficiency or large-scale changes in land use.
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